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Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered 35% year-over-year revenue growth to $28.2M, driven by strong dealer/chain-store sales and an AI-enabled advertising surge; diluted EPS of $0.09 and adjusted EBITDA of $3.7M showed operating leverage despite a lower gross margin mix .
- EPS materially beat Wall Street consensus; revenue was essentially in-line. Management initiated formal FY2025 revenue growth guidance of 35–40% and targeted FY2026 gross margins of 63–65% as production efficiencies ramp .
- Web sessions and brand reach inflected: Byrna.com averaged ~52k/day in August and ~58k/day in September; Amazon sessions rose sharply, supporting momentum into holiday promos and higher expected DTC mix in Q4 .
- Inventory and receivables rose with channel expansion and seasonal builds (inventory peaked end-July then declined >$3.5M into quarter-end), with cash expected to increase as working capital normalizes in Q4; no debt outstanding .
- Catalysts: new FY guidance, mainstream ad placements (MLB streaming, NFL airports), >1,000 retail locations, and a connected safety platform roadmap (SOS-enabled devices) for 2026+ .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- 35% YoY net revenue growth to $28.2M, led by dealer and chain-store strength; adjusted EBITDA rose to $3.7M, up from $1.9M YoY .
- AI-driven advertising materially expanded reach and lowered customer acquisition cost; Byrna.com sessions jumped to ~52k/day in August and ~58k/day in September. “We Don't Sell Bananas” became the flagship ad, securing MLB streaming and NFL airport placements .
- Retail footprint now exceeds 1,000 locations; experiential “shooting pods” at Sportsman’s Warehouse lifted in-store demos and conversion, validating brick-and-mortar strategy .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compressed to 60% (from 62% YoY) on mix shift (dealer/international) and CL/ammo startup/ramp costs; management expects margin improvement as volumes and factory efficiencies normalize .
- Cash and marketable securities declined to $9.0M from $25.7M (FY-end) as inventory and AR rose; AR reached $8.9M with dealer expansion; inventory climbed to $34.1M for holiday/CL rollout .
- Conversion rates initially dampened due to rapid traffic influx; management flagged fulfillment capacity risk around the six-day Black Friday/Cyber Monday window (6–7k daily packages) potentially pushing some orders into Q1 2026 .
Financial Results
Segment/channel mix (preliminary):
Digital engagement KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In Q3 2025, we delivered 35% year-over-year revenue growth… In August, our new advertising initiatives… lifted average daily web sessions… to more than 50,000… That momentum has carried into early fiscal Q4 2025, with September web sessions averaging 58,000 sessions per day.” — Bryan Ganz, CEO .
- “Our brick-and-mortar presence continues to expand, with Byrna products now in over 1,000 retail locations nationwide.” — Bryan Ganz, CEO .
- “We expect full-year fiscal 2025 revenue growth to come in between 35% and 40%.” — Bryan Ganz, CEO .
- “We anticipate that the Byrna Compact Launcher and ammo margins will continue to grow as production volumes increase and manufacturing processes become more efficient.” — Laurilee Kearnes, CFO .
- “We expect to… drive gross margin percentages towards our target of 63% to 65% next year.” — Bryan Ganz, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Influencer strategy diversification: Nike veteran Adam Roth joined the Board to help pursue broader brand ambassadors beyond conservative radio hosts; no new names disclosed yet .
- Conversion dynamics: Traffic up ~70–75%; conversion rate climbing but below historical ~1% mean; purchase cycle ~45 days; holidays historically lift conversion to ~1.5% (not needed this year given traffic) .
- Channel mix: Expect DTC to be a higher percentage of sales in Q4 vs Q3, while dealer/chain stores remain strong .
- Expense leverage: Q3 saw strong OpEx leverage; Q4 marketing to ramp; leverage to continue into FY2026 with some incremental hiring .
- Operations/logistics: Black Friday/Cyber Monday six-day window represents ~40% of November sales; shipping 6–7k packages/day is an execution focus; some orders may land in Q1 2026 .
- Retail execution: Sportsman’s Warehouse exclusive shooting pods drive demos/conversion; national footprint at Bass Pro/Cabela’s; plan to expand SKUs/colors to boost sales per store .
Estimates Context
Results vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global):
- EPS beat in all three quarters; Q3 2025 EPS of $0.1153 vs $0.064 consensus (significant beat). Revenue was effectively in-line across quarters; Q3 2025 actual of $28.179M vs $28.200M consensus (immaterial variance). EBITDA modestly beat each quarter.
- Target Price Consensus Mean: $39.7* across Q1–Q3 2025; Consensus Recommendation: not available*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong execution: Dealer/chain-store expansion and mainstream ad placements delivered robust growth; DTC expected to lift in Q4, supporting holiday momentum .
- Margin trajectory: Near-term mix/startup effects compressed gross margin, but September factory variances were eliminated and FY2026 margin target of 63–65% is credible with volume/efficiency gains .
- Working capital normalization: Inventory peaked in July; drawdown and AR collections should raise cash in Q4; no debt reduces risk .
- Guidance initiation: FY2025 revenue growth guided to 35–40%; monitor Q4 promos and fulfillment capacity around Black Friday/Cyber Monday for quarter-to-quarter timing effects .
- Product/roadmap: CL adoption strong in-store; SD strong online; connected safety platform (SOS-enabled) broadens TAM and supports potential recurring revenue in 2026+ .
- Trading setup: Expect near-term estimate revisions upward for EPS given repeated beats, while revenue stays close to consensus; narrative likely driven by Q4 DTC mix and margin commentary.
- Medium term: Focus on margin expansion, DTC penetration, and execution of connected devices; expanding SKUs within existing partners (e.g., Bass Pro/Cabela’s) can drive unit economics .
Appendix: Additional Q3 Press Releases and Prior Quarter References
- Preliminary Q3 2025 revenue release with channel breakdown and conversion details .
- Web traffic surge from AI-created ads; CAC reductions; 66M+ views of “We Don’t Sell Bananas” .
- Board appointments: Adam Roth (former Nike) and TJ Kennedy (FirstNet/Wrap Technologies), strengthening brand and public safety expertise .
- Q2 2025 results: revenue $28.5M, gross margin 62%, adjusted EBITDA $4.3M; CL launch; retail pilots; influencer expansion .
- Q1 2025 results: revenue $26.2M, gross margin 61%, adjusted EBITDA $2.8M; store openings; capacity expansion; ‘Made in America’ initiative .